Prognostic significance of serum procalcitonin in patients with extremely severe burn and sepsis
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摘要: 目的 分析血清降钙素原(PCT)在特重度烧伤脓毒症患者中的变化,探讨其对预后的意义。 方法 回顾性分析笔者单位2014年8月2日收治的江苏省昆山市铝粉尘爆炸事故中的13例特重度烧伤脓毒症患者,根据患者预后情况分为死亡组5例和存活组8例。比较2组患者入院第1个24 h急性生理与慢性健康评估Ⅱ(APACHEⅡ)评分和序贯性器官衰竭评估(SOFA)评分;比较2组患者入院第1、2、3、4周血清PCT水平、血清C反应蛋白(CRP)水平、白细胞计数、中性粒细胞、血小板计数、AST水平、前白蛋白(PA)水平、肌酐水平、尿素氮水平、血钠水平。对数据行Fisher确切概率法检验、重复测量方差分析、
t 检验、Mann-Whitney检验。绘制13例患者入院第3、4周血清PCT值的受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线,评估其对死亡的预测效果。 结果 2组患者入院第1个24 h的APACHEⅡ评分和SOFA评分及入院第1~4周的血清CRP水平、白细胞计数、AST水平、肌酐水平、尿素氮水平、血钠水平相近(t 值为-1.164~0.587,Z 值为-1.872~-0.442,P 值均大于0.05)。死亡组患者入院第3、4周的血清PCT水平分别为(15.8±14.9)、(13.6±5.6)ng/mL,明显高于存活组的(2.4±1.8)、(4.9±6.1)ng/mL(Z 值分别为-2.635、-2.208,P <0.05或P <0.01);2组患者入院第1、2周的血清PCT水平相近(Z 值分别为-0.732、-1.025,P 值均大于0.05)。与存活组比较,死亡组患者入院第4周中性粒细胞明显升高、血小板计数明显降低(t 值分别为-3.690、4.858,P 值均小于0.01),入院第2周PA水平明显升高(t =-2.320,P <0.05);2组患者该3个指标其他时相点水平相近(t 值为-1.562~1.904,P 值均大于0.05)。入院第3、4周13例患者血清PCT值的ROC曲线下总面积分别为0.938、0.906,最佳阈值分别为7.45、8.77 ng/mL,其对死亡预测的敏感度分别为75.0%、100.0%,特异度分别为100.0%、87.5%。 结论 入院第3、4周血清PCT值可作为特重度烧伤脓毒症患者预后判断的重要指标,为临床合理治疗提供依据。Abstract: Objective To analyze the changes in serum procalcitonin (PCT) in patients with extremely severe burn and sepsis, and to evaluate its clinical significance in the prognosis of patients. Methods Thirteen patients with extremely severe burn and sepsis injured in the aluminum dust explosion accident, which occurred in Kunshan of Jiangsu province, were admitted to our unit on August 2nd, 2014. They were involved in this retrospective study and divided into death group (n =5) and survival group (n =8) according to the outcome. Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) Ⅱ score and Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score at post admission hour (PAH) 24 were compared among the patients between two groups. Serum level of PCT, serum level of C-reactive protein (CRP), white cell count, neutrophils, platelet count, level of aspartate transaminase (AST), level of prealbumin (PA), level of creatinine, level of urea nitrogen, and level of blood sodium were compared among the patients between two groups in post admission week (PAW) 1, 2, 3, and 4. Data were processed with Fisher's exact test, analysis of variance for repeated measurement,t test, and Mann-Whitney test. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of serum PCT values were plotted to evaluate the predictive value for death of 13 patients in PAW 3 and 4. Results The differences in APACHE Ⅱ score and SOFA score at PAH 24 and serum level of CRP, white cell count, level of AST, level of creatinine, level of urea nitrogen, and level of blood sodium from PAW 1 to 4 of the patients between two groups were not statistically significant (witht values from -1.164 to 0.587,Z values from -1.872 to -0.442,P values above 0.05). The serum levels of PCT in patients of death group in PAW 3 and 4 were respectively (15.8±14.9) and (13.6±5.6) ng/mL, which were significantly higher than those of survival group [(2.4±1.8) and (4.9±6.1) ng/mL, withZ values respectively -2.635 and -2.208,P <0.05 orP <0.01]. The serum levels of PCT of patients in death group and survival group in PAW 1 and 2 were close (withZ values respectively -0.732 and -1.025,P values above 0.05). Compared with those of survival group, neutrophils in PAW 4 was significantly increased (t =-3.690,P <0.01), the platelet count in PAW 4 was significantly decreased (t =4.858,P <0.01), and the level of PA in PAW 2 was significantly increased in patients of death group (t =-2.320,P <0.05). There were no statistically significant differences in neutrophils, platelet count, and the level of PA at the other time points of patients between death group and survival group (witht values from -1.562 to 1.904,P values above 0.05). The total areas under ROC curves of serum level of PCT for predicting death of 13 patients with extremely severe burn and sepsis in PAW 3 and 4 were respectively 0.938 and 0.906, and 7.45 ng/mL and 8.77 ng/mL were respectively chosen as the optimal threshold values, with sensitivity of 75.0% and 100.0% and specificity of 100.0% and 87.5%. Conclusions Serum level of PCT in PAW 3 and 4 can be used as the vital prognostic indicators for patients with extremely severe burn and sepsis, and it can be considered as a guide for rational treatment in clinic.-
Key words:
- Burns /
- Sepsis /
- Prognosis /
- Procalcitonin
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