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基于GBD 2021数据库的中国人群烧伤疾病负担特征与变化趋势分析

梁金玉 席毛毛 唐宁 田伟 张京 彭俊祎 辛雨泽 Rebecca Ivers 叶鹏鹏 田懋一

梁金玉, 席毛毛, 唐宁, 等. 基于GBD 2021数据库的中国人群烧伤疾病负担特征与变化趋势分析[J]. 中华烧伤与创面修复杂志, 2026, 42(6): 589-596. DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn501225-20251208-00512.
引用本文: 梁金玉, 席毛毛, 唐宁, 等. 基于GBD 2021数据库的中国人群烧伤疾病负担特征与变化趋势分析[J]. 中华烧伤与创面修复杂志, 2026, 42(6): 589-596. DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn501225-20251208-00512.
Liang JY,Xi MM,Tang N,et al.Analysis of the characteristics and changing trends of burn disease burden in the Chinese population based on the GBD 2021 database[J].Chin J Burns Wounds,2026,42(6):589-596.DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn501225-20251208-00512.
Citation: Liang JY,Xi MM,Tang N,et al.Analysis of the characteristics and changing trends of burn disease burden in the Chinese population based on the GBD 2021 database[J].Chin J Burns Wounds,2026,42(6):589-596.DOI: 10.3760/cma.j.cn501225-20251208-00512.

基于GBD 2021数据库的中国人群烧伤疾病负担特征与变化趋势分析

doi: 10.3760/cma.j.cn501225-20251208-00512
基金项目: 

湖北省预防医学会科研项目 2025SWGKY547

武汉市卫生健康委员会医学科学研究项目 WX23Z61

详细信息
    通讯作者:

    田懋一,Email:maoyi.tian@hrbmu.edu.cn

Analysis of the characteristics and changing trends of burn disease burden in the Chinese population based on the GBD 2021 database

Funds: 

Scientific Research Project of Preventive Medicine Association of Hubei Province 2025SWGKY547

Medical Scientific Research Project of Wuhan Municipal Health Commission WX23Z61

More Information
  • 摘要:   目的  基于全球疾病负担(GBD)2021数据库,分析中国人群烧伤疾病负担特征与变化趋势。  方法  该研究为基于公共数据库的二次研究。提取GBD 2021数据库中1990—2021年除台湾地区外的中国22个省、5个自治区、4个直辖市以及香港特别行政区、澳门特别行政区由“火、高温及热物质”所致烧伤相关数据。按性别、年龄段和省级行政区进行分层,采用伤残调整生命年(DALY)率、早死所致生命年损失(YLL)率、失能所致生命年损失(YLD)率及其年龄标化率评价烧伤疾病负担。比较1990—2021年中国不同性别、年龄段和省级行政区人群的烧伤疾病负担变化趋势,并评价2021年中国不同性别、年龄段和省级行政区人群的烧伤疾病负担情况。  结果  1990—2021年,中国人群烧伤疾病负担整体下降。中国人群总体烧伤年龄标化DALY率(95%UI)由1990年的135.6(109.8~158.4)×10-⁵降至2021年的33.6(27.0~41.8)×10-⁵,下降幅度为75.2%;烧伤年龄标化YLL率和烧伤年龄标化YLD率亦下降,下降幅度分别为81.4%和54.5%。与1990年相比,2021年各省级行政区烧伤年龄标化DALY率均下降,但下降幅度存在差异;25个省级行政区女性烧伤年龄标化DALY率下降幅度较男性更明显,8个省级行政区呈相反特征;1~<2岁低龄儿童烧伤DALY率下降较快,≥80岁高龄人群烧伤DALY率下降相对缓慢。2021年,中国不同性别、年龄段和省级行政区人群的烧伤疾病负担存在差异。各年龄段男性烧伤DALY率均高于女性。年龄段分层中,≥80岁年龄段烧伤DALY率(95%UI)最高,为147.3(114.5~176.3)×10-⁵。2021年,烧伤年龄标化DALY率(95%UI)前3位省级行政区从高到低依次为云南省、贵州省和上海市,分别为45.4(37.2~58.7)×10-⁵、43.8(34.3~55.4)×10-⁵和43.3(29.6~62.2)×10-⁵。  结论  1990—2021年中国烧伤疾病负担总体呈下降趋势。然而,男性、低龄儿童、高龄人群及云南省、贵州省等高烧伤疾病负担省级行政区人群仍应作为烧伤防控的重点对象。

     

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  • 图  1  2021年较1990年中国各省级行政区不同性别人群及总人群烧伤年龄标化伤残调整生命年率下降幅度

    图  2  1990—2021年中国不同年龄段人群烧伤伤残调整生命年率变化趋势。2A.男性;2B.女性;2C.总人群

    注:DALY为伤残调整生命年;横坐标中1、2、3、4、5、6、7、8、9、10、11、12、13、14、15、16、17依次为1990、1992、1994、1996、1998、2000、2002、2004、2006、2008、2010、2012、2014、2016、2018、2020、2022年

    Table  1.   2021年中国不同省级行政区人群的烧伤疾病负担

    省级行政区年龄标化YLD率年龄标化YLL率年龄标化DALY率
    数值(95%UI)(×10-⁵)排序数值(95%UI)(×10-⁵)排序数值(95%UI)(×10-⁵)排序
    云南省18.4(12.1~27.2)927.0(21.2~38.1)145.4(37.2~58.7)1
    贵州省20.2(12.9~30.1)423.6(18.4~31.9)543.8(34.3~55.4)2
    上海市33.1(19.0~52.4)110.2(7.9~13.4)3143.3(29.6~62.2)3
    江西省19.7(11.6~30.5)622.0(16.5~27.1)841.7(32.7~53.6)4
    北京市30.7(17.8~48.2)211.0(7.6~14.4)3041.7(29.1~59.3)5
    浙江省20.0(11.5~31.4)520.3(10.5~26.2)1240.3(27.8~52.5)6
    陕西省12.6(7.4~19.3)1524.4(16.6~30.9)337.0(28.1~46.5)7
    甘肃省19.7(12.2~29.7)717.2(13.6~26.2)2336.9(28.5~48.8)8
    山东省17.2(9.7~27.2)1019.6(12.4~25.3)1536.8(27.5~47.9)9
    四川省15.0(9.1~22.8)1221.6(17.2~28.4)1036.6(28.6~46.0)10
    湖南省10.8(6.4~16.7)2025.2(15.9~32.3)236.0(26.4~44.2)11
    江苏省19.6(11.2~31.0)815.3(9.3~19.5)2634.9(25.9~47.1)12
    海南省20.6(12.6~31.3)314.3(9.9~27.6)2834.8(25.4~50.5)13
    山西省14.8(8.7~23.1)1319.2(14.7~24.9)1634.0(26.7~43.7)14
    天津市14.5(8.2~22.5)1419.1(11.6~24.5)1833.6(24.7~43.8)15
    广西壮族自治区9.8(6.0~14.7)2323.4(17.3~29.2)633.2(26.0~40.8)16
    新疆维吾尔自治区8.8(5.8~12.5)2924.2(17.5~33.6)433.0(25.5~43.4)17
    湖北省8.6(4.9~13.4)3022.6(14.8~28.2)731.2(23.2~38.4)18
    河北省9.3(5.6~14.1)2521.8(16.2~28.2)931.1(24.5~39.6)19
    内蒙古自治区12.4(7.2~19.3)1718.2(14.2~23.2)2130.6(24.2~39.4)20
    宁夏回族自治区10.2(6.0~15.6)2219.8(15.3~25.6)1429.9(23.6~37.7)21
    重庆市11.2(6.4~17.6)1818.7(14.7~24.1)1929.9(23.0~38.0)22
    广东省16.4(9.4~25.6)1112.6(9.8~16.5)2929.0(21.2~39.2)23
    河南省9.1(5.2~14.2)2818.5(13.4~23.2)2027.5(21.6~34.4)24
    辽宁省6.7(3.8~10.5)3220.2(13.7~26.0)1327.0(20.0~33.6)25
    青海省7.7(5.0~10.9)3119.2(13.9~36.3)1726.9(20.7~44.0)26
    福建省10.2(5.8~15.8)2116.6(12.9~20.7)2526.8(21.3~34.4)27
    吉林省9.2(5.3~14.5)2617.4(14.1~23.1)2226.6(21.5~34.2)28
    安徽省6.0(3.4~9.3)3320.4(14.8~25.7)1126.3(20.5~32.3)29
    黑龙江省9.1(5.3~14.3)2716.8(12.9~24.9)2425.9(20.1~35.3)30
    西藏自治区9.6(6.7~13.1)2415.3(8.4~45.1)2724.9(16.4~55.3)31
    澳门特别行政区11.1(6.4~17.3)199.0(5.3~12.1)3220.1(14.2~26.7)32
    香港特别行政区12.5(7.2~19.6)164.6(3.2~7.8)3317.1(11.4~25.0)33
    注:YLD为失能所致生命年损失,YLL为早死所致生命年损失,DALY为伤残调整生命年
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